Category: short
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Oil Trade Exits
I exited both of my oil trades today for nice gains. Whereas my entries were based on an extremely oversold oil market, today’s exits were based on overbought readings. Price is nearing resistance levels while stochastics are nearing extreme levels. More strength would provide a good short entry.
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Trade: WYNN Short
I went short WYNN today at $85.03. I only took a small position because I could a move up to the 20 day moving average. I would likely take a full position at that level.
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Today’s Trade Entries: DUG and AGU
I bought 200 shares of DUG at $46.56. DUG is an ETF that is short oil and gas. Looking at the chart, we see major accumulation and a pullback to a major moving average and price support. Note that this is the opposite of what is happening in the oil…
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Broken Momentum Stocks
It is inevitable that most momentum stocks will fall just as far as they climbed. Many investors and traders end up losing most or all of their profits either holding on or continually playing the bounces in these stocks. Here are 9 recent momentum plays that are showing signs that…
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Today’s Trades: POT and GS
I bought 200 POT at $138.14. Nice cup and handle breakout. I would have liked to enter in the $135-136 range, but I don’t want to chance missing out if the year end rally continues. I went short 100 shares of GS at $213.78. My stop is above the 50…
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Quick Trade Update
I took small long positions in CF (92.05), AAPL (179.80), FSLR ($235.25) and RIG (132). The first three were so oversold that I decided to buy after they started to bounce off their lows. If we get the holiday bounce everybody is waiting for, these stocks should do quite well.…
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Focus List Video: QID
At the top of my focus list is QID, which is an ETF that is a leveraged Nasdaq short. Take a look at today’s video to see how I plan to trade it. http://flash.revver.com/player/1.0/player.swf?mediaId=498261&affiliateId=93676 http://revver.com/watch/498261/flv/affiliate/93676/qid-stock-trade-setup-11-25-07/
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Trade Notes
I exited DCO at 42 (entry at$38.10) for a $1170 gain (+10.1%) . The setup was an earnings breakout-pullback. I will re-enter on a pullback to $40. I exited 200 shares of NOV at $67.35 (entry at $63.74) for a $722 gain (+5.7%) . This was an oversold bounce play…
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Short Candidate: Honeywell
Due to the fact that we have been in a solid uptrend, I haven’t pointed out many short candidates over the past few months. While the market is currently in a state of flux, I am still hesitant to fire off a big batch of shorts since we are still…
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SGR Lookin’ Like a Dead Cat
Shaw Group Inc. (SGR) is a former high flying stock that seems to have lost its mojo. In July, the stock gapped up after a long uptrend, but could not hold the gap level. It now looks like the gap was an “exhaustion gap“, which usually comes at the end…
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Distribution is Taking Over
Lately I have advised that market the volatility is just noise within a range and it is too early to make predictions in either direction. Things are becoming clearer now, and the news is not good for bulls. The SPY (S&P 500 ETF) has broke down below both price and…
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Four Reasons to Sell Steel
The steel sector, which has been one of my favorites over the past year, has undergone a change in character that now puts it on my “short watchlist.” Four elements make it an attractive short: 1. Signs of distribution, with high volume down days accompanied by low volume updays. 2.…
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Building My Watchlist
Today I had a little time to “get away” from the vacation and analyze the market. My best bet is we will see a “dead cat bounce” followed by another leg down. Of course, I could be wrong and we’ll see more resilience from the bulls. Right now I am…
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Chinks in the Armor: STLD
STLD and other steel stocks have been momentum favorites of mine for quite some time. While many steel stocks still look solid (l MT and RIO to name a few), some noteworthy high flyers are showing chinks in the armor. This is not a good sign for the industry as…
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Google Forming a Negative Divergence
While GOOGLE (GOOG) made my long position trading watchlist (entry at 50 day moving average), I could not help but notice the startling RSI, OBV and stochastic divergences that have formed at the current new highs. For those who don’t know, a negative divergence forms when price increases while the…
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Market Technicals
The S&P 500 is at a critcal juncture, already having broken below the 50 day moving average and now ready to test recent lows. If we see a breakdown below 1487, we officially will be in a short to mid term downtrend. A violation of this level would also signal…
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Short Watchlist: CAL
While I’m still not in full bear mode (I won’t be until the S&P breaks below 1450), I am starting to formulate a short watchlist. CAL looks like a good short on a break below $35.
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Thinking Out Loud About Amazon
Like many, I am kicking myself for not entering AMZN yesterday. On Thursday, I featured it as a breakout-pullback candidate. When I made my trades yesterday, I came very close to taking a 500 share position at around $44.40, but decided against it for two reasons. First, I had made…
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Breakout Chart: XOM
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) broke out to new highs on above average volume. A low volume pullback to the prior highs, just under $79, would normally provide a good entry point. While the breakout is bullish, there are some concerns for this stock. Notice the negative divergences in both RSI…